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Bitwise's Crypto ETF: A Trend Following Strategy

Bitwise's Crypto ETF: A Trend Following Strategy

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Bitwise's Trendwise strategy for crypto ETFs integrates EMAs and U.S. Treasuries to minimize volatility and enhance returns.

I came across this interesting article about Bitwise Asset Management and their new proposal for a crypto ETF. It seems like they're trying to tackle the huge volatility in crypto markets by using a combination of U.S. Treasuries and something called exponential moving averages (EMAs). The idea is to protect investors during downturns while still allowing for gains when the market is up.

What’s the Deal with Their Proposal?

Here’s what they’re doing: Bitwise wants to convert three of its existing crypto futures ETFs into this new product, which will be under the ticker $BITC. The three ETFs that are changing are basically ones that focus on Bitcoin and Ethereum futures. When things are shaky in crypto land, the fund will shift to U.S. Treasuries, which I guess are safer?

According to Matt Hougan, their Chief Investment Officer, this strategy is all about minimizing downside risk while trying to maximize returns when conditions are favorable.

How Do EMAs Fit Into All This?

Now, about those EMAs—apparently they’re a big part of the strategy. EMAs react quicker to price changes compared to regular moving averages, which makes them useful in fast-moving markets like crypto. So essentially, if certain conditions based on these EMAs are met, the fund will invest in cryptocurrencies; if not, it’ll go into Treasuries.

Pros and Cons of Using EMAs

But there’s a catch! While they can help identify trends and signals for buying or selling, they’re also lagging indicators. That means you might end up entering a trade after it’s already too late. Plus, in such volatile markets as crypto, you can easily get false signals.

Are There Risks Involved?

Of course! Integrating traditional financial instruments like U.S. Treasuries into a crypto ETF isn’t without its risks:

First off, there's market risk since these ETFs will still be exposed to the ups and downs of cryptocurrencies.

Then you have regulatory risks; we all know how quickly things can change in that arena.

And let’s not forget counterparty risks—if your custodian goes bust or gets hacked, good luck!

Plus there are operational risks involved; liquidity issues could arise especially during market stress.

Final Thoughts: Is This The Future?

Bitwise's approach seems pretty interesting but also raises some questions for me about whether it's really "crypto" at all if you're just going to move everything into Treasuries when things get rough.

It does seem like a step towards more institutional acceptance of digital assets though... As we move forward into whatever this next phase is going to be called (DeFi? Web3? Who knows), I can't help but feel we're just getting started with all these products and strategies being developed.

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Last updated
October 4, 2024

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